Are transgender killers rare? Media in both Canada and the US are quick to claim that transgender killers are rare. But are they? Recent mass murders by trans shooters make such claims a hard sell.
Recent attacks by trans teens
The shooter in Tumbler Ridge was trans. The RCMP identified Jesse Van Rootselaar as the shooter who killed eight people in February this year — including his mother and half-brother — before turning a gun on himself. The 18-year-old male began transitioning to female about six years earlier. The teenager had been the subject of police calls related to mental health and weapons in the past two years.
More recently a 15-year-old girl who goes by “he/him” pronouns has been arrested in Nova Scotia after being caught planning a massacre at her school. The 15-year-old is accused of conspiring with a 14-year-old Manitoba boy to launch simultaneous attacks on their respective high schools in Bridgewater, N.S., and Rivers, Man. Police in Bridgewater arrested the 15-year-old last week and searched a home where they said they uncovered handwritten plans and imitation weapons, including an imitation pipe bomb.
Transgender killers are over-represented
To find out just how rare trans shooters are, John Lott at Crime Prevention Research Center looked at the data. To see the full analysis, read the original. It’s way better than this summary. According to FBI statistics, 2.5% of active shooting attacks were by transgender individuals between 2018 and 2024, Lott found.
Raw frequencies don’t tell the whole story. Estimates vary, but between 0.76% and 1.1% of the American population can be considered transgender. Both Gallup and the Williams Institute at UCLA independently estimated that, between 2021-2023, about 1% of the US population identify as transgender. Because trans shooters tend to be younger than the adult population, even as young as 12, adjusting for age, the true percentage may be 0.76%.
Trans individuals are over-represented in mass shootings
Trans individuals are over-represented in mass shootings to their share of the population since so few people identify as transgender. If trans shooters make up 2.5% of the active shooting attacks but only constitute 1% [or less] of the population, they are over-represented. Transgender individuals commit active shooting attacks between 2.5 and 3.4 times their share of the population in the United States. Encouraging youth to believe they can abandon their biological sex and become transgender is a dangerous deception. Not only for the deluded individual youth, but for society.
Transgender is a social contagion
Identifying as transgender is a social contagion. Data from the CDC’s Behavioral Risk Factor survey showing a large increase in identifying as transgender over the past decade. Among young adults (18 to 24), identifying as transgender quintupled, increasing from .59% in 2014 to 3.08% in 2023. However, there were no consistent increases among those over age 35. Statistics Canada reports that 0.3% of Canadians 15 or older identified as transgender in 2021, but this subgroup is likely to have grown since then, as it has in the US, given the power of social contagion.
Social contagion is shown in that ideas about being trans spread quickly among certain groups, especially among girls and young women. In recent years more young adults identified as transgender men than as transgender women. The recent decision by the International Olympic Commission to restrict women’s competitions to biological females suggests that this fad may be falling out of favor.
Transgender killers are over-represented
The percent of active shooter incidents by trans individuals remained quite low, varying from 0% to 3.3%, until 2024, when it jumps to 12%, suggesting that identifying as trans may be a “social contagion” for mentally ill young men and women.
As a final note, mass public shooters are overwhelmingly suicidal. Given the high rates of suicide by transgender individuals, it isn’t surprising that they would be overrepresented as mass public shooters.
Canada is not immune to this social contagion. Lefties are destroying Canada by creating transgender shooters. We will keep you informed.
